Pokies 2018 Election Day

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  • All this, however, was effectively an appetizer when compared to the real main event: the midterms. Next year's midterms will offer the first nationwide referendum on Donald Trump's presidency. The whole House of Representatives, a third of the Senate, and most governorships will be at stake, along  Missing: pokies.
  • Despite Trump's low ratings, midterm election map still favors Republicans — for now. History shows that a president's party often loses ground in Congress during midterm elections. Results are even worse when the president's Gallup approval rating is below 50 percent before Election Day. Trump's  Missing: pokies.
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  • With so much of the news coverage of Donald Trump's days in office focusing (rightly) on his achievements and his failures, I wanted to look as well at the chances his opponents have to damage him, soon. I wanted to look, in other words, at the mid-term elections of Yes, sirree: we are just one.
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  1. Dozens of candidates headed to party headquarters in Texas on Saturday, the first day of filing for spots on next year's primary ballots. Election: First day of filing begins with a rush of candidates. By Anna M. Tinsley Greg Abbott — formally filed for slots on next year's primary ballots. Statewide.:
    "It's that indirect influence that David has been most helpful with." Mr Caplice said the Pokies Out Tasmania group may look to support anti-pokies independents or minor parties, or run candidates in the Tasmanian election, but is waiting to see what position Labor take on poker machines before. Labor announces a candidate for the upcoming Pembroke by-election who has expressed strong opposition to poker machines, as the party continues to develop a gaming policy. The Opposition is not ruling out taking a policy of removing pokies from pubs and clubs to the March state election. Deputy Opposition leader Tanya Plibersek, in Epping in Sydney's northwest, says she hasn't discussed Tasmania Labor's pokie policy with her federal White announced earlier this week poker machines would be removed from the state's pubs and clubs by if the party wins next year's election.
  2. December 12, Speaking at the Goodwood Community Centre in Hobart on Wednesday, Tasmania Labor opposition leader Rebecca White announced the party would remove poker machines from pubs and clubs across the state by if it wins next year's election. (AAP Video/Ethan James).:
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Many voters who manage to get interested enough to vote in a presidential year simply fail to show up in the off-years. President Obama's chief strategist and friend, David Axelrod, brought the subject up with a rueful tone when I talked to him on this US visit.

His point was clear - Obama was a successful president, but could have done so much more if he had held on to party support on Capitol Hill, particularly in the latter years of his presidency. Defeats matter because under the US system, the two houses of Congress have a great deal of power. They can block a president from legislating. They can cut off money for funding for his projects. They can harass his officials. Vote down his Supreme Court choices. And, yes, in extreme cases they can impeach him, begin the process of throwing him out of office.

If you oppose the inhabitant of the White House and suspect him of serious misdemeanours, you would be keen to vote in Could Donald Trump's presidency be hit by enough scandal by next year that those Republicans who stick with him go down? Well, it's hardly impossible, is it? Democrats hope that the travails of the Trump presidency might allow them to torpedo the enterprise after only two years. I met Democrats during a brief but fascinating trip to Texas who are seriously gearing up for On the outskirts of Fort Worth on a Sunday morning, I watched Congressman Beto O'Rourke work a crowd of several hundred who had turned out to cheer him in his effort to be the candidate to try to unseat the Texas Senator and former presidential hopeful Ted Cruz.

Does the congressman have a chance? Democrats have not been winners in state-wide elections in Texas for many a long year but that is the point - perhaps is different. First, the House of Representatives is a gerrymandered institution - the districts in many states have been carved out in order to keep parties in power rather than have genuine toss-up elections.

Take a look at the map of congressional Districts around the Texan state capital Austin. I walked down a street where individual businesses and homes had been picked off and placed in different districts depending on the perceived political views of the inhabitants.

These seats do not change hands; some are barely contested. It is also true that most of the Senate seats up for re-election in are held by Democrats: Yes, the Texas seat of Ted Cruz would be a major prize but in other places, including places where Trump polled well, the Democrats will be fighting to hang on. He was brutally frank about the state of the American left: We didn't even get to transgender bathrooms. But this fissiparous crowd is the same crowd Congressman O'Rourke is trying to marshal into some kind of cohesive force.

But pressed, he said he thought the Democrats would gain seats, though not enough to win control of Congress. Well, that's a safe view. The Democrats have a little over a year to prove him wrong and mess up the Trump White House. Donald Trump might be tempted to look for deals with a Democratic House of Representatives and might be more successful than he has been with members of his own party. But the changing political landscape has diminished the value of some old guideposts.

That provides Republicans some comfort days into the Trump presidency. First, partisan voting patterns have grown more consistent as Democrats and Republicans have grown increasingly polarized in recent decades. That diminishes ability of Democrats to attract dissident Republican voters. Second, the combination of political gerrymandering with the residential concentration of Democrats in large metropolitan areas gives Republicans the ability to win a share of House seats far outpacing their share of the overall population.

So the current Democratic lead in national "generic ballot" polls — a robust 9 percentage points in the current realclearpolitics. Third, today's Democratic Party has grown increasingly reliant on younger voters.

They traditionally turn out for midterm elections at lower rates than their elders. In the Senate, moreover, Republicans hold a huge advantage benefit in the profile of seats up for election next November.

Of 34 senators on the ballot, only nine are Republicans; of the seven considered most vulnerable, only two are Republicans. As a result, says fivethirtyeight. Congressional Republicans need all the help they can get. Not only is Trump historically unpopular for a president in his first year, but the all-Republican government has failed to deliver on any of its major promises to voters. The seven-year GOP crusade repeal and replace Obamacare collapsed before the president and Congress left town for summer vacation.

When they return in September, party leaders face the urgent task of convincing balky lawmakers to protect America's credit-worthiness by raising the federal debt ceiling. The White House and Congressional Republicans vow to deliver by year-end on their pledge to cut rates and overhaul the nation's tax system. If they fail, they may not have the chance to try again soon. Despite Trump's low ratings, midterm election map still favors Republicans — for now History shows that a president's party often loses ground in Congress during midterm elections.

Results are even worse when the president's Gallup approval rating is below 50 percent before Election Day. Trump's currently stands at 37 percent. The current electoral map, however, bucks historical norms, showing trends that stand in the way of Democrats taking control of Congress.

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Vote down his Supreme Court choices. And, yes, in extreme cases they can impeach him, begin the process of throwing him out of office. If you oppose the inhabitant of the White House and suspect him of serious misdemeanours, you would be keen to vote in Could Donald Trump's presidency be hit by enough scandal by next year that those Republicans who stick with him go down?

Well, it's hardly impossible, is it? Democrats hope that the travails of the Trump presidency might allow them to torpedo the enterprise after only two years. I met Democrats during a brief but fascinating trip to Texas who are seriously gearing up for On the outskirts of Fort Worth on a Sunday morning, I watched Congressman Beto O'Rourke work a crowd of several hundred who had turned out to cheer him in his effort to be the candidate to try to unseat the Texas Senator and former presidential hopeful Ted Cruz.

Does the congressman have a chance? Democrats have not been winners in state-wide elections in Texas for many a long year but that is the point - perhaps is different. First, the House of Representatives is a gerrymandered institution - the districts in many states have been carved out in order to keep parties in power rather than have genuine toss-up elections. Take a look at the map of congressional Districts around the Texan state capital Austin. I walked down a street where individual businesses and homes had been picked off and placed in different districts depending on the perceived political views of the inhabitants.

These seats do not change hands; some are barely contested. It is also true that most of the Senate seats up for re-election in are held by Democrats: Yes, the Texas seat of Ted Cruz would be a major prize but in other places, including places where Trump polled well, the Democrats will be fighting to hang on.

He was brutally frank about the state of the American left: We didn't even get to transgender bathrooms. But this fissiparous crowd is the same crowd Congressman O'Rourke is trying to marshal into some kind of cohesive force. But pressed, he said he thought the Democrats would gain seats, though not enough to win control of Congress. Well, that's a safe view. The Democrats have a little over a year to prove him wrong and mess up the Trump White House. Donald Trump might be tempted to look for deals with a Democratic House of Representatives and might be more successful than he has been with members of his own party.

The Senate passing the bill would mark the party's first major legislative triumph under President Trump. Continue Change settings Find out more. Can Democrats torpedo Trump presidency in elections? America is a nation of strivers, and sitting presidents are not exempted from that general rule. Related Topics Donald Trump. More on this story. How much has the president achieved so far? In those nine mid-term elections, the president's party has lost an average of 33 House seats and 4.

In an overlapping group of nine mid-term contests, the president's approval rating in the Gallup Poll was below 50 percent immediately before Election Day. In those elections, his party did even worse, losing an average of 36 House seats and 5. Seven modern midterm contests have combined both factors: And they paint an even more ominous picture for today's Republican majority in Congress.

In those seven midterms, the president's party lost an average of 41 House seats and 6. In four cases, control of the House flipped; in three of them, control of the Senate flipped, too. Next November, a gain of 30 seats would give Democrats control of the House. A gain of three seats would give them control of the Senate. President Donald Trump 's Gallup approval rating now stands at 37 percent. Using traditional prediction formulas, notes Congressional elections scholar Gary Jacobson, "no way the Republicans hold onto the House.

But the changing political landscape has diminished the value of some old guideposts. That provides Republicans some comfort days into the Trump presidency. First, partisan voting patterns have grown more consistent as Democrats and Republicans have grown increasingly polarized in recent decades.

That diminishes ability of Democrats to attract dissident Republican voters. Second, the combination of political gerrymandering with the residential concentration of Democrats in large metropolitan areas gives Republicans the ability to win a share of House seats far outpacing their share of the overall population.

So the current Democratic lead in national "generic ballot" polls — a robust 9 percentage points in the current realclearpolitics. Third, today's Democratic Party has grown increasingly reliant on younger voters. They traditionally turn out for midterm elections at lower rates than their elders. In the Senate, moreover, Republicans hold a huge advantage benefit in the profile of seats up for election next November. Of 34 senators on the ballot, only nine are Republicans; of the seven considered most vulnerable, only two are Republicans.

As a result, says fivethirtyeight.

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I wanted to look, in other words, at the mid-term elections of A third of the US Senate will be up for election and the whole of the House of Representatives, whose members only serve two years at a time. Mid-term elections do not excite most Americans. Many voters who manage to get interested enough to vote in a presidential year simply fail to show up in the off-years.

President Obama's chief strategist and friend, David Axelrod, brought the subject up with a rueful tone when I talked to him on this US visit. His point was clear - Obama was a successful president, but could have done so much more if he had held on to party support on Capitol Hill, particularly in the latter years of his presidency.

Defeats matter because under the US system, the two houses of Congress have a great deal of power. They can block a president from legislating. They can cut off money for funding for his projects. They can harass his officials. Vote down his Supreme Court choices.

And, yes, in extreme cases they can impeach him, begin the process of throwing him out of office. If you oppose the inhabitant of the White House and suspect him of serious misdemeanours, you would be keen to vote in Could Donald Trump's presidency be hit by enough scandal by next year that those Republicans who stick with him go down? Well, it's hardly impossible, is it?

Democrats hope that the travails of the Trump presidency might allow them to torpedo the enterprise after only two years. I met Democrats during a brief but fascinating trip to Texas who are seriously gearing up for On the outskirts of Fort Worth on a Sunday morning, I watched Congressman Beto O'Rourke work a crowd of several hundred who had turned out to cheer him in his effort to be the candidate to try to unseat the Texas Senator and former presidential hopeful Ted Cruz.

Does the congressman have a chance? Democrats have not been winners in state-wide elections in Texas for many a long year but that is the point - perhaps is different. First, the House of Representatives is a gerrymandered institution - the districts in many states have been carved out in order to keep parties in power rather than have genuine toss-up elections.

Take a look at the map of congressional Districts around the Texan state capital Austin. I walked down a street where individual businesses and homes had been picked off and placed in different districts depending on the perceived political views of the inhabitants.

These seats do not change hands; some are barely contested. It is also true that most of the Senate seats up for re-election in are held by Democrats: Yes, the Texas seat of Ted Cruz would be a major prize but in other places, including places where Trump polled well, the Democrats will be fighting to hang on.

He was brutally frank about the state of the American left: We didn't even get to transgender bathrooms. But this fissiparous crowd is the same crowd Congressman O'Rourke is trying to marshal into some kind of cohesive force. But pressed, he said he thought the Democrats would gain seats, though not enough to win control of Congress. Then narrow that group to the midterm elections in which the president's party controls both houses of Congress, and therefore can't easily deflect responsibility for problems onto the opposition.

In those nine mid-term elections, the president's party has lost an average of 33 House seats and 4. In an overlapping group of nine mid-term contests, the president's approval rating in the Gallup Poll was below 50 percent immediately before Election Day. In those elections, his party did even worse, losing an average of 36 House seats and 5. Seven modern midterm contests have combined both factors: And they paint an even more ominous picture for today's Republican majority in Congress.

In those seven midterms, the president's party lost an average of 41 House seats and 6. In four cases, control of the House flipped; in three of them, control of the Senate flipped, too. Next November, a gain of 30 seats would give Democrats control of the House. A gain of three seats would give them control of the Senate. President Donald Trump 's Gallup approval rating now stands at 37 percent. Using traditional prediction formulas, notes Congressional elections scholar Gary Jacobson, "no way the Republicans hold onto the House.

But the changing political landscape has diminished the value of some old guideposts. That provides Republicans some comfort days into the Trump presidency.

First, partisan voting patterns have grown more consistent as Democrats and Republicans have grown increasingly polarized in recent decades. That diminishes ability of Democrats to attract dissident Republican voters. Second, the combination of political gerrymandering with the residential concentration of Democrats in large metropolitan areas gives Republicans the ability to win a share of House seats far outpacing their share of the overall population.

So the current Democratic lead in national "generic ballot" polls — a robust 9 percentage points in the current realclearpolitics. Third, today's Democratic Party has grown increasingly reliant on younger voters.

They traditionally turn out for midterm elections at lower rates than their elders. In the Senate, moreover, Republicans hold a huge advantage benefit in the profile of seats up for election next November. Of 34 senators on the ballot, only nine are Republicans; of the seven considered most vulnerable, only two are Republicans.

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Ted Cruz Says Republicans Facing “Bloodbath” In 2018 Midterm Elections