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should utilize your understanding

Do you guys have a bunch of sites you use to get your news for particular businesses or industries which help you with your day trades? Or do you have your own collection of sources which are specific to a particular trade? The way I understand the calendar was constructed was by first looking at the whole sector Industry, health, transport, etc then refining the sector by eliminating companies with boarder interests e.

The group of companies gets traded as a group Quite an automatic process but apparently it works you know it works because if it didn't they'd be selling the calendar and make money that way instead of keeping it secret and make money trading it.

Most Insiders keep the calendar to themselves but thought maybe someone here trades it and can say if its real or fiction. The thing is, I thought they tried this in the 60's and basically found that there was no strong correlation because the market is efficient enough.

It's could well be a refined version of the 60's model with computer power and easier analysts behind it. Perhaps it's all rumors, or reality, that's why I was asking if someone is trading on it. The theory has traction, if it exists it may well work. I really doubt there's a Mayan calendar for the stock market, unless it's been traded on the chat rooms. Anyway, you can have a go at it, just get the market data and perform correlations, refine your model, and back-test.

Despite numerous bailouts and policy reforms, the Greek economy and eurozone are still dealing with the effect of the crisis. While bailout efforts continue, the effects of the Greek financial crisis can be detrimental to the U.

Doesn't anybody on this thread trade? I stay on the thread in the hope to learn new strategies and get insight on instruments that are good short term trades. How about some input?

Strategies that work and some that don't? I am a full time trader but this wannabe after the fact ego stroke thread is on a road to nowhere , lets see some trade calls live in realtime and get some credibility going. What about some genuine critique without sniping and egos getting out of shape , NEVER going to happen , traders are the biggest dick swinging egoist dicks around that apparently never have losing trades. Call me a cynic but WP trader thread just sounds wrong , tried to share in here but all i got was trolled , i aint sharing sh!

I like to call it 'sharing their best'. It is our call as to whether it is dribble or worthwhile, not theirs. Frankly Chartist, I like the fact I can't read anything you have posted. It makes me focus on the things you didn't edit out Just thought I would concur. I am a computer tech, engineer is too rich a brushstroke, though they call me that sometimes.

Anyway, I did some napkin calculations, and tried to work out how much I would need invested to pay me a regular wage, the sort of wage I would get from a typical full time job.

I am in Cairns, and our best jobs are still at the low end of the wage spread. Is that not a million dollars fully invested? Then, take that figure back to your skill set.

That values your skill set at a million dollars. Your skill set produces an annual return of 50k. As would a million dollars invested. This little exercise put me off trading for almost 10 years.

But I figure today, with endless QE, I might just as well learn a bit about day trading. Do the trades like Mr FX. Maybe even have a quick peek at smoko. Do my active trading at a low level for a decade or so, while I steadily learn. There is only one problem. Where can I get that? But I figure today, with endless QE, I might just as well learn a bit about day trading It sounds like you have reasonable earning power and are still young so making a few mistakes to learn to trade profitably isn't going to bankrupt you.

The average all markets performance this year alone is Trading multiplies the above. For fear of having chartist label my performance as an inflated brag, I'll refrain from quoting performance figures here, but I publish my performance and position summary daily, if you are interested then send me a PM and I'll give you the link to get that info daily. Anyone still up watching markets?

Got a few positions at a loss but since I had some shorts and hedges, my strategy was to hold on, haven't cut anything and indeed bought a further 40 positions tonight. Expecting metals to shoot up big time when the FOMC announcement comes out in 40mins at 4: Even if they don't continue higher tonight they will by the end of the week. This is one of those no brainer trade setups. Currently leveraged up big time long silver. Let's use this as a way forward. I believe on margin, I can gain great leverage.

But don't I need to save funds for margin calls? And wouldn't any downside on a margin call on 40K invested create a rather large bill, or a forced termination of the position? Is it possible to trade on such great margins, without being skilled enough to choose equities that only rise?

Finished my morning analysis and price setting for today. You got that right on all points. But you are right too Trading the ASX in effect gives you a couple of shares in each of the companies making the INDEX, a good diversification and a good way to get the feel of trading and markets. Bank of Japan keeps policy steady in vote. Can't figure out the JP, seen so cleaver in everything except managing the economy.

Avg Markets Maj Performance year to today is More importantly you need to keep accurate track with notes for yourself. Knowing what works and what doesn't help in refining the strategy. Spreadsheet are a good way. You'll find that if they are a real operation and registered, you can't open an account unless you reside in HKG or on area where there are no overseeing body such as Thailand.

So every market day I start my trading system up I dont care what the Dow did or why I read the whole day only from the stocks that present and I close my day on whatever stocks are then present. So every market day I start my trading system up I dont care what the Dow did or why..

That's bid bold and dangerous considering that what happens in the US overnight could gap a market by 50pts or more at open. Agree that during a trading day most markets will express their own mind but that initial possible gap at opening could well trip over an otherwise good existing position, or is your style to close off all positions daily no matter what?

I spend a good hour on studying the Overnight performance and more so the reasons for movements both inta-day and closing price. But then I trade the US markets also so I need to know, however, I noticed the influence US volatility and performance and closing price has on opening prices of other markets so use that as a guide to reset my stops or hedges. If Greece blows and market reacts with a sell-off I'll be increasing my exposure to EU considerably.

Any of you that bought the sell-off should be smiling today. Ok, So I'm looking to get into day trading, However i'm not going to put a cent in untill i have some of the funamentals down pat.. I know i have the equipment cause im a PC gamer: P and have the power and internet connection.. Hi FX no not bold we are just trading entirely differently.

The market gaping up or down or sideways has no bearing on my applied day to day trading. My trading plan is not for those new to the market or for those who have spent most their time investing, just so that's out there.

I trade a large group of individuals asx all stocks above 1c and under 60c, most usually under 10c , I use my software to scan second upon second for any individual behaving better — as in DT logic better. Another way to say it is to take any entire population composed of individuals as it must be, not all will be playing their 'madness of crowds" part of that whole every single day of any year. Some of those people will have individual and overarching reasons to behave entirely differently, all manor of differently from any indexed mass average of the population.

I isolate measure and then pay attention to only these stocks, I do not need to know what they do, how they do it, what industry they belong in, I only need to be able to measure their real-time behaviour and a few other 'personal' as in the stock no me metrics. Overnight US Stocks close higher but off high, data and Fed speakers was eyed, financials lea way. Very interesting, so you are a sort of penny stock HFT with some manual input. Herd much about penny stocks behaving their own way irrelevant to market direction, you obviously nailed it.

Once you got the basics then decide what instruments you want to trade then sign up with a serious platform like SAXO for international or one of the banks for local. Funny the HFT comment lol, never though of it that way. I will have multiple identified stock buys sells and when in amends or cancels prefilled out and piled on top each other on one of my screens so yes lol I guess in a very coarse way HFT although and not identic to how HFT behaves holding a stock for just a few minutes is most usually the result of a poorly identified entry.

The trick in mind I believe is to never ever ever ever accept a loss larger than brokerage, this cannot always be achieved obviously but once one has their head around how utterly unacceptable under any circumstance any loss remains other portions of the plan can come together nicely to underline it.

It's the hinge that allows the door. Today not a single trade made, none poked their head up high enough to meet my line, one looked to be shaping up but I have ran out of the puff to bother.

I was thinking more of the principal of it rather than the frequency. No, markets are unpredictable and illogical Don't be impressed ,i am not, being able to recognise when right and the corresponding ability to recognise when wrong is all that has value or matters as a trader imo. I dunno who Tim Sykes is, I dont follow any writings broader market. Not quite, in fact only 2 days into the week. I know what you mean He identifies bubbles and shorts them I think you are doing the opposite.

I think you are doing the opposite". Ok yes I see, I couldn't even come close to imagining his process, in truth I consider these trading plans as post normal plans, some get it correct because of the total population attempting such things but for the majority it's just another spin of the wheel each time ,half his luck though.

Algos hey FX well that's awesomely interesting, i looked into them a couple years ago, one day possibly but I expect never in truth.

Not rocket science but a lot of work in monitoring, the pay-out is however huge with minimal risk. Me too with GCI a couple years back and didn't work so I developed my own. My algorithm does not try to predict Future events, it only predicts today's impact on markets based on y'day events. Again not rocket science but I get a fair idea of probability then set orders based on that.

Another low tech technique I use is to trade the mid price of a channeling instrument Usually an Index. I'll get into a position within the channel price then flog it to death with opposite positions, as long as price remains in the channel I trade, when it brakes out I'll marry off the short and the long so no harm done. The ASX followed on from yesterday, the index finished down points 2.

I've done a Buffet Heavy on the UK most of all. Overnight US Stocks close higher after digesting Yellin comments that caused a pt drop. Good jobless report, yields and fall in Oil reversed markets. Not expected to recover for a while Hongkong is a risk to buy until China stabilizes. Europe opened Strong on surprise result of UK election, on target to reverse previous sell-off. Eased Greece Concerns and US improved sentiment helping.

Downside is now got talk of Britxit adding to Grexit. Tonight the US Non Farm Payrolls figs come out, usually it is a market moving event but tonight the stakes may be higher than usual given the big moves in bond market this week.

A strong number could see bond selling continue with negatives implications for stock markets. I think the puff has now gone out of the markets and all are settling, expect flat for rest of session.

Hope you all had a good trading night A word of caution, IMO this is the surge before the long awaited correction. June typically is not a good month for the markets nor is September , traders will be looking for an excuse to sell, could be Greece, could be some bad data or just a change in sentiment.

I will be playing the markets with a neutral to bearish outlook from now and be planning for the correction. I'll be selling and hedging on highs and be ready to buy if the correction happens.

So you think the market is cooked FX, I got no good consideration on this as I just dont follow these things but if I had a dollar for everyone I heard say that this last 5 years even as I try not to listen I would be well able to trade it. With commodities so low there is little room I expect but you did say a correction and I guess that might fit in, going to make nice conditions to nail bounces if fast enough.

Only one trade today for triple bank annualised interest, caught me out should have been x6 bank interest but I had belief there for a little longer than I should have My brain was just not in it today as there was other stock worthy also but i stayed bored instead. No, not cooked, most markets will end the year above were they are now but between now and then my opinion is that there will be a correction and that's the way I'm positioning myself i.

We could argue that the October 14 dip was the correction but most say it wasn't. If it comes then I buy, if not I've missed some upside but haven't lost money. Well that sounds fair enough one needs backup plans, mine during a correction on very clearly defined stock always concurrently outlined within my follow the money subset criteria so to speak. Is to set a gaggle of conditional buys at appropriate levels and then go fishing n camping: Overnight US Stocks close lower as renewed bond selloff puts Street on edge.

AU was down another 1. Overnight US Stocks close flat after a pt swing, renewed bond selloff puts stocks on edge. Greece Uncertainty holding EU back but giving a buy opportunity, EU expected to outperform US this year Japan had a pt drop before recovering to be up for the day. AU also recovered from yesterday's 1. FX is something of a voodoo art, but it's not impossible.

It's just incredibly difficult because for the first time trader it's like entering Wimbledon to face Nadal in the first game armed with a broomstick instead of a racket, and not even knowing how to play tennis. Trading of any sort is all about figuring out what a fair price, cheap price, and expensive price is. FX muddies the waters because you have pairs, and figuring out if the top side is where the cheap money is or the bottom side is where the cheap money is can be the confusing part.

The only indicator worth a damn is a moving average, but there's plenty out there to deliberately confuse you and sent you wasting your time on an indicator quest. Most people use MAs in stupid crossover strategies with low win percentages.

All you then have to do is buy when the price is "below average" and sell it off when it is "above average". I only trade the London open All you have to do is to do what they do too. Interesting theory with nice explanation.

I think the difficulty in trading FX is the pair nature of the trade Having said this, I suppose your strategy of just looking at the moving average takes into account both factors of the pair. Hope you are having success and if it works for you then keep on doing it without looking to complicate the strategy. I think 9am NY time is just as interesting. Banks and trading houses open at 9 while the broad markets open at 9. Assume you are referring to options I've studied successful professional option traders and most will always enter 2 or oven 3 trades to protect the 1st so that's how they get a high success rate.

Excellent strategy to protect against losses however each insurance trade dilutes the potential profit so although these traders almost always win, the rewards are diluted and further the trade becomes enormously complex I suppose your strategy of just looking at the moving average takes into account both factors of the pair.

No, the averages can only determine the cheap areas to buy into while the trend still holds. Determining when the trend is over relies on price action based on different factors The key is understanding that in order for the banks to buy cheap volume, other traders need to end up being tricked into selling into those areas so the bank can pick them up.

Using multiple MAs takes in multiple time frames. I am never confused about trading timeframe. Like you said, the US session is also a key area to exploit because of the market timing. It's just that I don't want to stay up quite that late to manage a trade. And while I'm relatively consistent, I am having some success. I am still too gutless to throw massive lots onto my trading though, so I'm not crazy rich.

Bonds rose, Oil down, VIX down. Greece firmly in focus. At these levels, the banks are starting to look good value Tuesday was volatile with a 62pt range, trading as high as and as low as closing near the low. Actually London opening where most of the daily range and volume occur. Best time to trade. I don't really look to the news to determine my trading. I just look to see how price exploits particular price levels and trade based on that.

The news really only effects longer term trends when sovereign names get involved, but I'm not holding my trades for more than a single day's market cycle.

What's you favour pair to trade? Oil lower as weak fundamentals weigh, VIX flat. Japan close to recent high, expected to open strong today but Takata declaring China's property prices fall 6.

Retail day trading makes small bucks. Retail platforms have limited functionality. I don't need the extra functionality. In fact, for anyone starting trading, the extra features only serve as a distraction. If the platform can display moving averages, candlesticks, horizontal and vertical lines, and can open and close trades, that's good enough.

Recent spike above 1, on the US small-caps should be noted, traders should focus on this group. If Grexit happens it will be a massive buy opportunity, after the initial shock, the relief rally will reward you. Waiting for EU to drop further before buying. Japan holds on to recent high, had a pt swing but closed flat on good GDP data, Takata limiting uptick: Singapore GDP stronger than expected at 3.

I see no signs of this changing right now. I'd like to see prices north of 1. That said, if an opportunity presents to go back up there, I'll take it ;.

Looks like there might be an opportunity to get some rise out of the EU today. I don't see a valid entry with low risk, but 1.

I do see an entry but it's a bit risky for me. I would like to get under 1. Gt a position I'm targeting for a 1. No idea why you went long there. Good entry for a short though, but I wasn't looking at it. I left the EU alone today. Price wasn't going into areas I was expecting, and not only that, it took too long to get there.

When I'm not sure, I don't pull the trigger. There's really no need to. All the same, price never managed to break the level I had pegged as important, so the downtrend is still in place. I'm long at 1.

I'm trying to figure out what you're doing because price was around 1. You're not exactly day trading if you bought in at the start of the month. You'd be taking multi-day positions on the larger timeframes. I'm only holding trades for a few hours tops.

I trade on predicted direction and level rather than time frames, like it that way as can set limit orders once a day then hold till reached or until circumstances change If I have to hold a position for a week or 2 then be it, as long as circumstances don't change I stick with the position, if they do then I'll cut or hedge.

On average I'll be in 40 positions at any one time and turn those over within 10 days. I've tried monkeying with longer term trading, but it just never worked for me.

I don't like the idea of playing games of chance with my trading, and then praying and hoping. I like to be deadly accurate I am in and out with large size on and then my day is done.

I don't need a million pips if the lot size is huge and I am accurate News plays a huge part of longer timeframe trends as I've learned.

The way I trade I don't care about news. I just look at the price action. Well, I take my hat off at you for finding the holly grail, I never did, so settled on trading the short to medium term trend.

I don't need a million pips if the lot size is huge. Hi Guys, thanks for an interesting post. I'm looking at forex trading and at this stage learning as much as possible.

Most of the strategies I'm investigating are short term i. Being new to forex I'm concerned that I'm being unrealistic with respect to trade sizing. Yep I do understand about leverage and how that can accelerate losses. Was wondering if others are trading successfully with this size level or above.

If you could provide info regarding the size you typical trade that would be greatly appreciated. I wouldn't say that I found the holy grail. I signed two different NDAs to know what I know. I then combined both approaches into something that works for me and makes sense of the market so I can feel confident about dropping size on.

I don't drop a lot of size on. There's no need to once you reach a certain level. Not only that but the more size you drop on, after a certain limit, your stops start getting hunted by certain brokers They all fail at some point. Get accurate and everything else sorts itself out. Forex is the best business out there IMHO, but again Most people fail at trading because they fall foul of Greed, Fear, Inexperience, Ignorance. Either that or they just get scammed by certain people who don't really know what they're doing, but have found it easier to sell broken pans during a gold rush.

By all means, I wouldn't want to put people off, but the road to where you want to go is hard and narrow, and many just don't make it, or don't persevere long enough to make it, or get distracted by real life and it's concerns. Never worked in the finance sector Welcome to the thread.

You probable won't get the answer you want here as most contributors just post in general terms. I'm not a day trader by strict definition but my post 3 above yours may assist. I normally have 40 open positions, been up to at interesting times but I diversify, never been above 20 lots in one instrument. I publish my position holdings daily, if interested in seeing this then send me a PM and I'll give you the link.

Just to answer the initial question Personally I think a more reasonable goal would be to pay off your mortgage, and free yourself from a 9 to 5 job ;. Money gets in the way of your judgment.

In fact that advice goes for a lot of other things in life: That is what sets you free as a trader , no burdens of debt and enough capital to support yourself while you get a grasp on trading. The burden of having to make X dollars at end of week to pay mortgage is a stress a trader can live without , definately need a buffer.

Couple years of wages in hand takes the pressure of. I can't even comprehend managing open positions, even 40 would overwhelm my meager mental capacity. Thereafter just keep an eye on the news That's why I wouldn't keep positions open longer than one day. I wonder how you would have fared when the SNB decided to unpeg themselves from the Euro, in that black swan flash crash event.

EU opened on targets then closed Greece remains in focus amidst confusing announcements, most now predict an orderly exit. Greece and US economy are in focus, Friday figures may determine near term markets direction. Yes time in markets is risk , i trade FX but its very short term , Indice is my main trade and i generally only hold overnight with short positions , markets rarely crash up and black swans are crash events so not totally adverse to that sort of exposure.

Always exceptions to the rule but markets are faster on down moves than up moves. My discipline in trading is to only trade markets that I know, I study and watch an instrument for months before adding it to my list of tradables. It took me 4 years to put together the odd 30 instruments I trade and know how they channel, react to news or react to economic changes. I don't really have black swan events, knowing the instrument will allow me to make an educated guess of the impact an event might have.

The only decision I need to make is whether the impact is going to be short term or long term. If short term I do nothing, if long term I adjust my exit strategy, If I get it wrong that's when I lose money thus the importance of intelligently knowing what I'm trading.

Don't know anything about the SNB policy so can't say whether the unpegging had a short or long term impact on the currency, if I did, I'd apply the above rule. I can say that during the flash crash I had determined that it was a short term impact on the indecies but a major event on some individual stocks. Removed the stops on the index positions, kept them on the individual stocks. But because of the speed of the move, I lost some positions I intended to keep and overall lost money in that event.

PS The flash crash thought me a lot, I doubt a similar event would have the same results on my positions now. Two things amuse me Summit meetings, finance minister meetings, ECB meetings.. One issue and all of Europe does nothing else but have meetings to talk about Greece. What are they talking about? Whether the troika should give money to Greece for it to pay back the troika! That's what all the fuss is about Really, Europe needs a crisis of some sort to take their attention of Greece, they really seem to have nothing to do.

Anyone watching HSI43 futures? Bought some Friday at 27,, sold today at 27,, re-bought half an our later at 27, and sold again at 27, within an hour. So far a good start to June for day-traders. Oil up, VIX down. Mistake to believe financial crises at end, it is unclear if the US in secular stagnation Plenty of volatility in Europe but then closed mostly flat. Well it's all pretty good for pushing the markets around and getting traders to make irrational guesses.

Anyway, Monday showed us that the banks clearly had enough of people taking longs and decided to drop the market out from under them, taking out some important support levels and dropping us into a downtrend. A nice setup appeared out of London for those paying attention. Profit taken within 2 hours: Not sure what the trigger for the drop was. If it wasn't economic news, it's because the buyers' stop losses looked too good on Friday. Overnight US Stocks open lower and closed flat with pt swings in-between amid rising yields, data and Greece.

Oil up, VIX up. Mistake to believe financial crises at end, it is unclear if the US in secular stagnation Plenty of volatility in Europe also then closed mostly down. By seeing where price has been, they leave clues as to where they're looking to go. It's all about where the money and orders lie. The economic news can only influence how parties place those orders, but it can't control them.

I am a pure technical trader. I find that the economic news is a distraction I'm only upset that I took profit too early on that move Repeatable safety and accuracy. Expecting a move back up to recent highs followed by some drop I don't predict the market. I react to it. Manged to catch HSI43 at below 27, today, sold all 60 lots within 2 hours at 27, A lot of volatility in China with confusion on regulations to stem overexposure, the volatility is flowing into HKG with a pts swing this afternoon.

Europe is having a bad day, France the worst at I have buy orders at 1. It is my opinion that EU will outperform most markets and this is a but oportunity. The market cycle would appear to end tomorrow on Friday, and I think the banks will be somewhat exhausted and looking to take profits from the run up.

Non-farm payroll however, is a bit of a wild-card. It certainly was a buy opportunity coming out of London. Well, I'm having a ball tonight I've been buying and selling just about everything,. Overnight US Stocks close below day moving average ahead of jobs report after volatility on pt swings DOW , data and Greece were in focus. Hongkong had pt swing on China volatility. Japan added to y'day fall. The game play is that Greece wants the EU to kick it out so it then can blame the EU for forcing a default while the EU wants Greece to decide to leave.

The bottom line is that Greece will not reform and is happy to leave the EU rather than reform but wants keep the money given to it. Both sides got contingency plans in place so it's just a matter of who blinks first. The catastrophe of Greece leaving the EU? It is like the Y2K catastrophic predictions Overnight US Stocks close mixed, job data was good but Greece in focus.

DOW had pt swing and remained below day moving average. I hope you all had a good week trading and urge you to post some of your experiences here so other can watch markets they might be missing. I am ending the week with 75 open lots in the EU markets mostly bought Friday night near the lows. I also have another 10 lots in oil and direct shares. Excuse my noobishness but what exactly is an instrument? Compare money transfer services, compare exchange.

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They are hospitable sufficient and these loans forever arrive with travelling. This is think why, they my site: I think 9am NY time is just as interesting. Banks and trading houses open at 9 while the broad markets open at 9. Assume you are referring to options I've studied successful professional option traders and most will always enter 2 or oven 3 trades to protect the 1st so that's how they get a high success rate. Excellent strategy to protect against losses however each insurance trade dilutes the potential profit so although these traders almost always win, the rewards are diluted and further the trade becomes enormously complex I suppose your strategy of just looking at the moving average takes into account both factors of the pair.

No, the averages can only determine the cheap areas to buy into while the trend still holds. Determining when the trend is over relies on price action based on different factors The key is understanding that in order for the banks to buy cheap volume, other traders need to end up being tricked into selling into those areas so the bank can pick them up.

Using multiple MAs takes in multiple time frames. I am never confused about trading timeframe. Like you said, the US session is also a key area to exploit because of the market timing.

It's just that I don't want to stay up quite that late to manage a trade. And while I'm relatively consistent, I am having some success. I am still too gutless to throw massive lots onto my trading though, so I'm not crazy rich. Bonds rose, Oil down, VIX down. Greece firmly in focus.

At these levels, the banks are starting to look good value Tuesday was volatile with a 62pt range, trading as high as and as low as closing near the low. Actually London opening where most of the daily range and volume occur. Best time to trade. I don't really look to the news to determine my trading. I just look to see how price exploits particular price levels and trade based on that. The news really only effects longer term trends when sovereign names get involved, but I'm not holding my trades for more than a single day's market cycle.

What's you favour pair to trade? Oil lower as weak fundamentals weigh, VIX flat. Japan close to recent high, expected to open strong today but Takata declaring China's property prices fall 6. Retail day trading makes small bucks. Retail platforms have limited functionality. I don't need the extra functionality. In fact, for anyone starting trading, the extra features only serve as a distraction.

If the platform can display moving averages, candlesticks, horizontal and vertical lines, and can open and close trades, that's good enough. Recent spike above 1, on the US small-caps should be noted, traders should focus on this group. If Grexit happens it will be a massive buy opportunity, after the initial shock, the relief rally will reward you.

Waiting for EU to drop further before buying. Japan holds on to recent high, had a pt swing but closed flat on good GDP data, Takata limiting uptick: Singapore GDP stronger than expected at 3.

I see no signs of this changing right now. I'd like to see prices north of 1. That said, if an opportunity presents to go back up there, I'll take it ;. Looks like there might be an opportunity to get some rise out of the EU today. I don't see a valid entry with low risk, but 1. I do see an entry but it's a bit risky for me. I would like to get under 1. Gt a position I'm targeting for a 1.

No idea why you went long there. Good entry for a short though, but I wasn't looking at it. I left the EU alone today. Price wasn't going into areas I was expecting, and not only that, it took too long to get there. When I'm not sure, I don't pull the trigger. There's really no need to.

All the same, price never managed to break the level I had pegged as important, so the downtrend is still in place. I'm long at 1. I'm trying to figure out what you're doing because price was around 1. You're not exactly day trading if you bought in at the start of the month.

You'd be taking multi-day positions on the larger timeframes. I'm only holding trades for a few hours tops. I trade on predicted direction and level rather than time frames, like it that way as can set limit orders once a day then hold till reached or until circumstances change If I have to hold a position for a week or 2 then be it, as long as circumstances don't change I stick with the position, if they do then I'll cut or hedge. On average I'll be in 40 positions at any one time and turn those over within 10 days.

I've tried monkeying with longer term trading, but it just never worked for me. I don't like the idea of playing games of chance with my trading, and then praying and hoping. I like to be deadly accurate I am in and out with large size on and then my day is done. I don't need a million pips if the lot size is huge and I am accurate News plays a huge part of longer timeframe trends as I've learned.

The way I trade I don't care about news. I just look at the price action. Well, I take my hat off at you for finding the holly grail, I never did, so settled on trading the short to medium term trend. I don't need a million pips if the lot size is huge. Hi Guys, thanks for an interesting post.

I'm looking at forex trading and at this stage learning as much as possible. Most of the strategies I'm investigating are short term i. Being new to forex I'm concerned that I'm being unrealistic with respect to trade sizing. Yep I do understand about leverage and how that can accelerate losses. Was wondering if others are trading successfully with this size level or above. If you could provide info regarding the size you typical trade that would be greatly appreciated.

I wouldn't say that I found the holy grail. I signed two different NDAs to know what I know. I then combined both approaches into something that works for me and makes sense of the market so I can feel confident about dropping size on. I don't drop a lot of size on. There's no need to once you reach a certain level.

Not only that but the more size you drop on, after a certain limit, your stops start getting hunted by certain brokers They all fail at some point. Get accurate and everything else sorts itself out. Forex is the best business out there IMHO, but again Most people fail at trading because they fall foul of Greed, Fear, Inexperience, Ignorance.

Either that or they just get scammed by certain people who don't really know what they're doing, but have found it easier to sell broken pans during a gold rush. By all means, I wouldn't want to put people off, but the road to where you want to go is hard and narrow, and many just don't make it, or don't persevere long enough to make it, or get distracted by real life and it's concerns. Never worked in the finance sector Welcome to the thread.

You probable won't get the answer you want here as most contributors just post in general terms. I'm not a day trader by strict definition but my post 3 above yours may assist. I normally have 40 open positions, been up to at interesting times but I diversify, never been above 20 lots in one instrument. I publish my position holdings daily, if interested in seeing this then send me a PM and I'll give you the link. Just to answer the initial question Personally I think a more reasonable goal would be to pay off your mortgage, and free yourself from a 9 to 5 job ;.

Money gets in the way of your judgment. In fact that advice goes for a lot of other things in life: That is what sets you free as a trader , no burdens of debt and enough capital to support yourself while you get a grasp on trading.

The burden of having to make X dollars at end of week to pay mortgage is a stress a trader can live without , definately need a buffer. Couple years of wages in hand takes the pressure of. I can't even comprehend managing open positions, even 40 would overwhelm my meager mental capacity. Thereafter just keep an eye on the news That's why I wouldn't keep positions open longer than one day.

I wonder how you would have fared when the SNB decided to unpeg themselves from the Euro, in that black swan flash crash event. EU opened on targets then closed Greece remains in focus amidst confusing announcements, most now predict an orderly exit.

Greece and US economy are in focus, Friday figures may determine near term markets direction. Yes time in markets is risk , i trade FX but its very short term , Indice is my main trade and i generally only hold overnight with short positions , markets rarely crash up and black swans are crash events so not totally adverse to that sort of exposure.

Always exceptions to the rule but markets are faster on down moves than up moves. My discipline in trading is to only trade markets that I know, I study and watch an instrument for months before adding it to my list of tradables.

It took me 4 years to put together the odd 30 instruments I trade and know how they channel, react to news or react to economic changes. I don't really have black swan events, knowing the instrument will allow me to make an educated guess of the impact an event might have. The only decision I need to make is whether the impact is going to be short term or long term. If short term I do nothing, if long term I adjust my exit strategy, If I get it wrong that's when I lose money thus the importance of intelligently knowing what I'm trading.

Don't know anything about the SNB policy so can't say whether the unpegging had a short or long term impact on the currency, if I did, I'd apply the above rule. I can say that during the flash crash I had determined that it was a short term impact on the indecies but a major event on some individual stocks.

Removed the stops on the index positions, kept them on the individual stocks. But because of the speed of the move, I lost some positions I intended to keep and overall lost money in that event.

PS The flash crash thought me a lot, I doubt a similar event would have the same results on my positions now. Two things amuse me Summit meetings, finance minister meetings, ECB meetings.. One issue and all of Europe does nothing else but have meetings to talk about Greece.

What are they talking about? Whether the troika should give money to Greece for it to pay back the troika! That's what all the fuss is about Really, Europe needs a crisis of some sort to take their attention of Greece, they really seem to have nothing to do.

Anyone watching HSI43 futures? Bought some Friday at 27,, sold today at 27,, re-bought half an our later at 27, and sold again at 27, within an hour. So far a good start to June for day-traders. Oil up, VIX down. Mistake to believe financial crises at end, it is unclear if the US in secular stagnation Plenty of volatility in Europe but then closed mostly flat.

Well it's all pretty good for pushing the markets around and getting traders to make irrational guesses. Anyway, Monday showed us that the banks clearly had enough of people taking longs and decided to drop the market out from under them, taking out some important support levels and dropping us into a downtrend. A nice setup appeared out of London for those paying attention. Profit taken within 2 hours: Not sure what the trigger for the drop was.

If it wasn't economic news, it's because the buyers' stop losses looked too good on Friday. Overnight US Stocks open lower and closed flat with pt swings in-between amid rising yields, data and Greece. Oil up, VIX up. Mistake to believe financial crises at end, it is unclear if the US in secular stagnation Plenty of volatility in Europe also then closed mostly down. By seeing where price has been, they leave clues as to where they're looking to go.

It's all about where the money and orders lie. The economic news can only influence how parties place those orders, but it can't control them. I am a pure technical trader. I find that the economic news is a distraction I'm only upset that I took profit too early on that move Repeatable safety and accuracy. Expecting a move back up to recent highs followed by some drop I don't predict the market. I react to it. Manged to catch HSI43 at below 27, today, sold all 60 lots within 2 hours at 27, A lot of volatility in China with confusion on regulations to stem overexposure, the volatility is flowing into HKG with a pts swing this afternoon.

Europe is having a bad day, France the worst at I have buy orders at 1. It is my opinion that EU will outperform most markets and this is a but oportunity. The market cycle would appear to end tomorrow on Friday, and I think the banks will be somewhat exhausted and looking to take profits from the run up. Non-farm payroll however, is a bit of a wild-card. It certainly was a buy opportunity coming out of London.

Well, I'm having a ball tonight I've been buying and selling just about everything,. Overnight US Stocks close below day moving average ahead of jobs report after volatility on pt swings DOW , data and Greece were in focus.

Hongkong had pt swing on China volatility. Japan added to y'day fall. The game play is that Greece wants the EU to kick it out so it then can blame the EU for forcing a default while the EU wants Greece to decide to leave.

The bottom line is that Greece will not reform and is happy to leave the EU rather than reform but wants keep the money given to it. Both sides got contingency plans in place so it's just a matter of who blinks first. The catastrophe of Greece leaving the EU? It is like the Y2K catastrophic predictions Overnight US Stocks close mixed, job data was good but Greece in focus.

DOW had pt swing and remained below day moving average. I hope you all had a good week trading and urge you to post some of your experiences here so other can watch markets they might be missing. I am ending the week with 75 open lots in the EU markets mostly bought Friday night near the lows.

I also have another 10 lots in oil and direct shares. Excuse my noobishness but what exactly is an instrument? Like a common share is one? A bond is another? What is an example of a more obscure one? Instruments are just about anything that can be traded There are probably 15, trade-able instruments so picking and trading 30 of those is not too much. Some traders have computer programs to identify pattern and signals and will trade anything and everything even without knowing what they are trading, you want to avoid this this activity and pick instruments you understand and just trade those.

A most unusual instrument is the disaster index, trading the probability of a disaster such as an earthquake, a typhoon, etc. It's been devised by the reassurance industry to spread the risk of insurance pay-out losses. It gives a pretty good return as long as the sun shines but the investment could fall to zero if it doesn't.

I don't trade it but someone in the insurance sector that knows insurance risk assessment may do good in it.. Awesome, that clears it up thanks. So basically anyone can write up a contract and say we are willing to pay x, given y conditions. EU markets all dropped on open then flat-lined for the last 3 hours, gold not moving nor is the VIX Longer term I don't attempt to predict the ASX, it moves in mysterious ways.

Italy has a lot of solid and profitable companies that were sold off unjustifiably and dramatically during the GFC and the 1st Greek saga, now it's just catching up. It dropped the most during the 1st Greek crisis and now it's making up lost ground. In April they advised investors to take the cream off the table and stay in cash for a while. I'm expecting the Euro to gain in strength over the longer term - but then I day trade, and care little for overall direction as dictated by economic news.

For today though, there'll be a bit of drop, probably back down to 1. I don't quite believe that the Euro is finished topside quite yet. Will have to see what happens though. You must be indifferent to getting stopped-out then, a couple of words from a finance minister or such like can send a currency significantly up or down within seconds Greece may be the volatility driver but Central banks are determining the trend.

Low interest rates will push markets Up. Take the recent JPY rumblings. I didn't trade it, but the opportunity was clearly presented. These big moves happen because of removal of liquidity. It dries up before the release. The banks position themselves accordingly, and the price gets factored in before the news comes out Good day today, hope it's not a dead cat bounce. I am a bit surprised things are this great when Greece's problem which can't really be fixed until they leave the Eurozone or Default, is still unresolved.

Maybe intensifying the talks will lead to more intense clashes forcing Greece out finally! I think the EU got what it came for yesterday, so today I'm expecting price to drop on that pair.

Overnight DOW again had pt swing to close up but off its high, back into the black for Greece news started the rally, retail figures strengthened it.

EU moves were all Greece driven. Low interest rates will push markets higher. Something to contemplate before you get all complex on chasing a dollar trading , 55 points net a week average for 40 weeks a year , its not really that diffficult , in fact its not difficult at all Something to contemplate before you get all complex on chasing a dollar trading , 55 points net a week average for 40 weeks a year , its not really that diffficult , in fact its not difficult at all.

Piece of cake if the top and bottom can be consistently picked. Can you tell us how to consistently pick the top and bottom so that at the end of the day the profits are as big as the range? Finally we got a market response on Greece. My strategy is to buy Europe at these level with some reserve to buy more if things get lower. I'll be hedging by buying the VIX, this will offset losses if markets go much lower.

The plan is to hold to all buys until the dust settles. I'm having a good week already and it's only Tuesday Took my trades off at around 1.

I dare say we may see the Euro drop tomorrow until the end of the week I am prepared for it though ;. I dare say we may see the Euro drop tomorrow until the end of the week.

It looked like the currency preceded the equities move by an hour or so, most markets have now taken back all today's losses and are above yesterday's close. I got in heavy yesterday and for a while thought I might have got in too soon but now all looks good. I've just dismantled my VIX hedges and looking to have a good ride up. If the ride gets bumpy then I hedge again but don't intend to cut positions.

I'm anticipating price to work the 1. So far, that looks like it's going to happen, but we'll know more by London open. If my analysis is correct, then this has the potential to be a sizable drop. Looks like we should be going up after all. Will see if price comes back there in London. If not, I won't be trading this.

Eurusd range compression into FOMC , it is a coin toss , thats no edge for me , waiting is a position. I'm favouring the upside, and in fact I'll be wary if a short opportunity presents. Any price under 1. EU PA is so similar to yesterday's. Same people doing the same things? The banks go to where the cheap money is, pick it up, carry it, and dump it out where it's more expensive. That's all they are doing. Buy when cheap, sell when expensive. All a trader has to do is play along. Today however, I'm expecting to see drop out of the London open for the session.

I see signs that they're dumping out from the aftermath of the FOMC. Europe opened mostly up be it slight, VIX is down, Gold steady The unpredictability of markets Just look at the cable at the moment, with so much rise over the week, I'm looking at price dropping off on that pair because it's a Friday and somebody's going to want to take profit. So far, order flow seems to suggest that the banks are lining up to drop the market today, but my techs say that it will keep going up.

No confirmation of a trade as yet, but my bias is to the downside. Yesterday was very busy at the topside. If I don't get what I'm looking for I just won't trade it. EU on the other hand looks more certain to drop after hitting some important numbers yesterday, but I'm not absolutely certain as important support wasn't taken out London hasn't opened yet and price action could tell a different story then.

I'll want higher prices back up at 1. If I don't see that soon, then something else is probably going on. Possibly more rise even, as the important support is still holding. I did go short at 1. I wait for good prices. They did not give me one, so I pass. Although I got the direction right. EU went to smash support rather than give me a decent entry Yet this simple idea is so difficult for most to grasp.

It is really just knowing what part of the cycle you are in and playing along. I've been flat since FOMC. Didn't really want to get involved in the profit taking plays. Next week should present some nice opportunities. Quite a surprising Europe opening session I'm not complaining as on Friday I had positioned myself for a lively bounce, just that I expected it on Wednesday but it came today instead, nice.

It was looking like it was going to keep going up, Scored a nice sell for the day. Double-digit percentage gain on my account: Double-digit percentage gain on my account. I suspect this rally not going to last, have exited most the positions accumulated on Friday with intention to get back in when rally falters PS Also got in some shorts 20 min ago, seems that was the top for now. Yep, my day trading was all done in an hour today.

I just love it when price drops out of the sky like that. My estimate is that price is going to drop from here. If we break out to the topside of 1. In any case, I care little for the fundamentals. I just watch the price action and trade accordingly. Guess we both underestimated this rally, ran out of steam only to re-surge with a vengeance on NY open.

After today's rally, Greece in now history IMO, a deal might have been reached but nothing's changed, the can was just kicked further down the road once again, the difference now is that nobody cares one way or the other, indeed, two fund managers have stated publicly that Europe is now in a position were Greece cannot harm their recovery. Wasn't expecting such a huge move back.

Price came back to hit an area that my stops would have been if I stayed in and didn't take profit when I did. That's a big clue to how the market works. Having done that, I now have to ask if price is keen on moving up more. Early price action suggests it might be. Will just have to wait until London Open.

If price stays largely where it is until then, I think we may see the downside. If it starts climbing up over , and staying there, then the topside is going to open up. I have a collection of 30 instruments I study, watch and trade, these include some direct shares, indecies and currency pairs.

I trade any of those depending on volatility and predictability. Also had several traded within the channel CBA is in. Looks like broke that settling at Do you see a bottom? Hoping to see 1. Still think euro has decent downside potential. The large move during asia is not optimal though. See what NY has to offer. We're more likely to see a one to two month rally in the euro, than anything. Then it will start to drop again.

There was a trade at London open, but suboptimal. The asian move made that decision for me. I agree long term I'm bullish euro however I was referring to this week's pricing.

Traded through the 1. The Dow has traveled sideways for some time now. It has been in a tight range for the last 5 months, and in a bigger sideways range for 2 months before that. IMO, the Dow is ready to break out upwards for its next bull run, very soon. The next 3 - 6 months could be very positive. It seems to have strong support from 17, - 17, It could shift that support to a new level above 18, , It has been in a tight range for the last 5 months,.

If to pts swings are moving sideways in narrow range then I'm a monkey's uncle or perhaps you're looking at a 10 year chart. This might sound strange but I kind of feel sorry for Alexis Tsipras. Don't get me wrong, I think his mandate stunk and Greek's pension scheme indeed needed to come to reality as well as government size, tax collection, etc, etc.

But he was elected on a mandate and stuck to it however ridiculous it was. IMO, his diplomatic inexperience made him misunderstand what the US told him.

An experienced diplomat would have read between the lines and realized that the mere fact of the US is getting involved by calling him directly at the 11th hour, then there is a bigger picture, the Russian alignment, and if he hadn't buckled, then the US would have intervened in his favor by forcing the Germans to compromise and perhaps even maneuver to make the cape wearing IMF superwoman disappear. Anyway, this is a trading thread so back to topic Good job all round Alexis, sorry to see you go, hope your civil engineering endeavors will be more structurally sound than Greece economics, by by now.

If to pts swings are moving sideways in narrow range then I'm a monkey's uncle. I am looking at Dow 3 year chart, but also include a 12 month and around 10 year chart too.

The last 5 months range has been points off the high using the 26 March Low. My time frame of approximately 5 months is counted from 4 Feb to now. That equates to roughly 4. I would consider that as tight and as a possible major consolidation. Don't know if consolidation is the correct term as support builds at the top of a chart. Point well taken and well researched but need to put things in prospective.

Was never going to to leave trades open over the weekend, but the downside was always in focus give the Euro's failure to stay above certain price levels.

It was clearly being sold heavily. Is tomorrow going to be more of the same on the asx?

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